2015/2016 and beyond!!!
It’s that time of year again where naysayers, pundits and overall FUD pushers like to talk about what is to come in the next year while glamourizing in their predictions from years past. I won’t begin to make predictions on where the market will go because we are in a fragile and turbulent time. What I will do is highlight what went right, what went wrong and as make my predictions based on market demand vs. putting my thumb in the air. We are in the midst of a significant technology transition heralded by cloud technology, promoting a truly distributed technology world for developers and businesses. Technologists have an opportunity to deliver business transformation and true value by adopting new approaches and techniques to suit cloud-aware application development.
What went right
-Mobile has transformed our world from all aspects of how we connect, shop, search, explore, dine, navigate, etc. Apps such as Uber, Lyft, Delivery.com and Open table have made it possible to go from doorstep to table all from using apps in a seamless and frictionless manner all while securing payments and transportation.
-Consumer “smart” devices began popping up everywhere. Whether it be Nest, the data driven thermostat or August, the smart door lock, connected consumer devices began to show up in droves promising seamless connectivity, secure transportation of information and analytics to boot. Also, it doesn’t hurt that Fido can now be spied on if you aren’t planning on having a couple rugrats for a while.
-Cloud heats up…. again. It’s as ubiquitous as saying “This is the year of VDI” but it goes without saying that cloud in all forms continued to be at the forefront of CIO’s and CTO’s as budgets continue to tighten, human capital is shifted and repurposed for greater flexibility and everyone is asked to do more with less. Cloud in this instance could refer to public, private or hybrid, depending on what market you are in and what your organization deems “cloud.”
-Along the lines of cloud computing, hyper converged infrastructure began to come out of the woodwork as again more and more organizations are looking to trim their IT budgets and integrate the silos of their organization into one simplified consumption model where resources can be provisioned elastically without calling upon a half a dozen teams.
What went wrong
-Virtual reality hasn’t taken off quite like some would have imagined. It’s not a big surprise considering the majority of virtual reality headsets from makers like Oculus are targeted at gamers and less on the general population.
-Drones were expected to be delivering packages from the likes of Amazon this year and as evidenced that has yet to come to fruition. Amazon has garnered a lot of press when tempting customers with the idea that drones could deliver a children’s toy in the backyard where the child is playing within an hour of ordering it. Unfortunately, we aren’t there…. yet.
-Digital payments such as Apple Pay began their slow entrance to the market but mass adoption hasn’t taken off as some might have liked. Stores such as Whole Foods and Nordstrom began implementing Apple Pay earlier this year but some still fear security and usability are lacking.
-The race to create a new type of currency in the form of bitcoin just hasn’t caught up with expectations of what a digital currency can or should be. Currencies require the support and backing of a government entity and therefore will fail without it.
2016 Predictions (or as close as predictions get)
-Meg Whitman steps down as CEO of HP. This should come as no surprise as the stock is down 71% over the past five years with her at the helm. HP recently decided to abandon its offering for a true public cloud and instead focus on private and hybrid clouds. With a strategy that seems to consist of piggybacking competitors and investing in 3D printing, the future doesn’t look bright for HP.
-Amazon ditches UPS in favor of its own logistics in house. Jeff Bezos has made no bones about saying he wants to control every aspect of the customer experience. Does this mean he wants to buy planes and trucks to deliver goods to customers? What impact will this have on the bottom line for cash outflow for 2016? Amazon stock is up an astounding 123% YTD and has added $150 billion in market cap since January.
-Hyper converged infrastructure will still trail converged infrastructure as the predominant form of consuming resources in the data center but will continue to gain momentum as a way to provision and automate IT. CIOs and CTOs will continue to realign technical resources as key lines of business look to use data as strategic business enabler for IOT, Big Data and data monetization. Expect to see the demand for HCI engineers or architects grow as the demand for storage, network and server’s engineer’s shrinks.
There you have it, my predictions for 2016, albeit coming in right before the new year.
What are your tech predictions for 2016? Where do you see the market going in terms of consumption headed into the new year?